[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"$fW9rNnttXs2GEvS8wYdjGsvLaRc7IQKdIewOPHk8t8Pc":3},{"answer":4,"createTime":5,"id":6,"options":7,"origin":12,"question":19,"related":20,"source":30,"type":31},[],"2025-12-27 22:16:21",236462035,[8,9,10,11],"Generate a sample for &epsilon; by sampling from a normal distribution with mean 0.13 and standard deviation 0.25. Use Cholesky decomposition to correlate this sample with the sample from the previous time interval","Generate a sample for &epsilon; by using the inverse of the standard normal cumulative distribution of a sample value drawn from a uniform distribution between 0 and 1","Generate a sample for &epsilon; by using the inverse of the standard normal cumulative distribution of a sample value drawn from a uniform distribution between 0 and 1. Use Cholesky decomposition to correlate this sample with the sample from the previous time interval","Generate a sample for &epsilon; by sampling from a normal distribution with mean 0.13 and standard deviation 0.25",{"count":13,"courseId":14,"courseImg":15,"courseName":16,"workId":17,"workName":18},16,"53e1d2ef4961cca8eea3e23969ad2cb9","https:\u002F\u002Ftihai-oss-cloud.itihey.com\u002Fimg\u002F03a579384a6dc297c89809b582fcc767.png","默认课程","ed9521509f884579a731adc24c6c8cc7","数量3 Simulation, Volatilities and Correlation","Consider a stock that pays no dividends, has a volatility of 25% per annum and an expected return of 13% per annum. Suppose that the current share price of the stock, S0, is USD 30. You decide to model the stock price behavior using a discrete-time version of geometric Brownian motion and to simulate paths of the stock price using Monte Carlo simulation. Let &Delta;t denote the time interval used and let St denote the stock price at time interval t. So, according to your model, S_(t+1)=S_t&times;(1+0.13&times;∆t+0.25&times;&radic;∆t&times;&epsilon;, where &epsilon; is a standard normal variable. To implement this simulation, you generate a path of the stock price by starting at t = 0, generating a sample for &epsilon; updating the stock price according to the model, incrementing t by 1, and repeating this process until the end of the horizon is reached. Which of the following strategies for generating a sample for &Delta; will implement this simulation properly",[21,32,41,50,53,62,71,80,89,98],{"answer":22,"createTime":5,"id":23,"options":24,"question":29,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462032,[25,26,27,28],"USD 45.10","USD 43.77","USD 43.33","USD 44.21","A portfolio manager has asked each of four analysts to use Monte Carlo simulation to price a path-dependent derivative contract on a stock. The derivative expires in nine months and the risk-free rate is 4% per year compounded continuously. The analysts generate a total of 20,000 paths using a geometric Brownian motion model, record the payoff for each path, and present the results in the table shown below. \u003Cimg src=\"https:\u002F\u002Ftihai-oss-cloud.itihey.com\u002Fimg\u002F6bc5c0bebb95a540afebd87a1758643f.png\"> What is the estimated price of the derivative","v1",0,{"answer":33,"createTime":5,"id":34,"options":35,"question":40,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462033,[36,37,38,39],"For estimating VaR, Monte Carlo methods generally require more computing power than historical simulations","Monte Carlo simulations can handle time-varying volatility","Monte Carlo methods can be used to estimate value-at-risk (VaR) but cannot be used to price options","Correlations among variables can be incorporated into a Monte Carlo simulation","Which of the following statements about Monte Carlo simulation is incorrect",{"answer":42,"createTime":5,"id":43,"options":44,"question":49,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462034,[45,46,47,48],"Mean = 0.268%, standard deviation = 4.03%","Mean = 0.288%, standard deviation = 4.16%","Mean = 0.288%, standard deviation = 4.27%","Mean = 0.278%, standard deviation = 4.13%","Consider a stock that pays no dividends, has a vol. of 30% per annum, and provide an expected return of 15% per annum with continuous compounding. The stock price movements follow GBM. Consider a time interval of 1 week and the initial stock price is 100, then the stock price increase has a normal distribution with",{"answer":51,"createTime":5,"id":6,"options":52,"question":19,"source":30,"type":31},[],[8,9,10,11],{"answer":54,"createTime":5,"id":55,"options":56,"question":61,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462036,[57,58,59,60],"I, II, and IV","I and IV","III and IV","II and III","Monte Carlo simulation is suitable for pricing options in which of the following cases? I. An Asian option on a stock market index (payoff based on average stock price). II. A look-back put option on XYZ stock (payoff based on maximum or minimum stock price). III. An American call option on ABC stock (possible early exercise). IV. A cash-or-nothing call option (i.e., binary option) on SCU stock (payoff is fixed amount or nothing)",{"answer":63,"createTime":5,"id":64,"options":65,"question":70,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462037,[66,67,68,69],"Using 1,000 replications of a long option position on S should create a larger relative error","Using another set of 1,000 replications will create an exact measure of 5.0% for relative error","Using 10,000 replications should create a larger relative error","Using 1,000 replications of a short option position on S should create a larger relative error","A risk manager has been requested to provide some indication of accuracy of a Monte Carlo simulation. Using 1,000 replications of a normally distributed variable S, the relative error in the one-day 99% VaR is 5%. Under these conditions",{"answer":72,"createTime":5,"id":73,"options":74,"question":79,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462038,[75,76,77,78],"99.97","96.79","99.70","99.79","Suppose you simulate the price path of stock HHF using a geometric Brownian motion model with drift &mu; = 0, volatility &sigma; = 0.14, and time step &Delta;t = 0.01. Let St be the price of the stock at time t. If S0 = 100, and the first two simulated (randomly selected) standard normal variables are &epsilon;1 = 0.263 and&epsilon;2 = -0.475, what is the simulated stock price after the second step",{"answer":81,"createTime":5,"id":82,"options":83,"question":88,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462039,[84,85,86,87],"When simulating asset returns using Monte Carlo simulation, a sufficient number of trials must be used to ensure simulated returns are risk neutral","Bootstrapping is an effective simulation approach that naturally incorporates correlations between asset returns and non-normality of asset returns, but does not generally capture autocorrelation of asset returns","The historical simulation approach is a nonparametric method that makes no specific assumption about the distribution of asset returns","Monte Carlo simulation can be a valuable method for pricing derivatives and examining asset return scenarios","Which of the following statements about simulation is invalid",{"answer":90,"createTime":5,"id":91,"options":92,"question":97,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462040,[93,94,95,96],"The GARCH imposes a positive conditional mean return","The GARCH can produce fat tails in the return distribution","The Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (EWMA) approach of RiskMetrics is a particular case of a GARCH process","The GARCH allows for time-varying volatility","The GARCH model is useful for simulating asset returns. Which of the following statements about this model is FALSE",{"answer":99,"createTime":5,"id":100,"options":101,"question":106,"source":30,"type":31},[],236462041,[102,103,104,105],"0.559","0.539","0.549","0.569","Suppose that the current daily volatilities of asset X and asset Y are 1.0% and 1.2%, respectively. The prices of the assets at close of trading yesterday were $30 and $50 and the estimate of the coefficient of correlation between the returns on the two assets made at this time was 0.50. Correlations and volatilities are updated using a GARCH (1, 1) model. The estimates of the model's parameters are &alpha; = 0.04 and &beta; = 0.94. For the correlation &omega; = 0.000001, and for the volatilities &omega; = 0.000003. If the prices of the two assets at close of trading today are $31 and $51, how is the correlation estimate updated"]